QB Rankings: Fantasy's top 34

[JakeT.]

Rankings are assuming your league has these categories for QBs:

7 points per TD (rush, pass, rec)
-3 points per INT
-3 points per fumble
1 point per 25 yards passing
1 point per 15 yards rushing


<table style="width: 508px; height: 2866px;" bgcolor="" border="1" bordercolor=""><tbody><tr><td align="center"> RANK </td><td align="center"> NAME </td><td align="center"> TEAM </td><td align="center"> PROJECTED STATS </td><td align="center"> COMMENT </td></tr><tr><td align="center"> 1 </td><td align="center">Peyton Manning
</td><td align="center">Indianapolis </td><td align="center">35 TDs, 10 INTs, 4500 Yards
</td><td align="center"> Manning should get a boost from Addai's pass catching abilities.
</td></tr><tr><td align="center"> 2 </td><td align="center">Tom Brady
</td><td align="center">New England
</td><td align="center">30 TDs, 13 INTs, 4200 Yards
</td><td align="center">Pats should pass a ton more this tear. Randy Moss won't hurt Brady's stats.
</td></tr><tr><td align="center"> 3 </td><td align="center">Jon Kitna
</td><td align="center">Detroit
</td><td align="center">29 TDs, 17 INTS, 4500 Yards
</td><td align="center">Year two in Martz' offense and Calvin Johnson will make Kitna a fantasy stud.
</td></tr><tr><td align="center"> 4 </td><td align="center">Drew Brees
</td><td align="center">New Orleans
</td><td align="center">27 TDs, 12 INTs, 4100 Yards
</td><td align="center">Deuce and Reggie will steal TDs, but Brees is still amongst the best fantasy QBs due to his yardage.
</td></tr><tr><td align="center"> 5 </td><td align="center">Carson Palmer
</td><td align="center">Cincinnati
</td><td align="center">28 TDs, 13 INTs, 3900 Yards
</td><td align="center">I see Palmer having slightly less time and slightly less fantasy value.
</td></tr><tr><td align="center"> 6 </td><td align="center">Donovan McNabb
</td><td align="center">Philadelphia
</td><td align="center">26 TDs, 10 INTs, 3850 Yards
</td><td align="center">McNabb puts up bigtime stats when healthy. Can he stay healthy?
</td></tr><tr><td align="center"> 7 </td><td align="center">Phillip Rivers
</td><td align="center">San Diego
</td><td align="center">26 TDs, 10 INTs, 3600 Yards
</td><td align="center">Defense won't concentrate on Rivers, and he'll have longer of a leash in year 2.
</td></tr><tr><td align="center"> 8 </td><td align="center">Marc Bulger
</td><td align="center">St Louis
</td><td align="center">23 TDs, 9 INTs, 3900 Yards
</td><td align="center">Rams should run more this year, and that offensive line has some issues.
</td></tr><tr><td align="center"> 9 </td><td align="center">Eli Manning
</td><td align="center">New York G
</td><td align="center">26 TDs, 17 INTs, 3800 Yards
</td><td align="center">No Tiki means Eli will pass more, but how will be handle the additional tosses?
</td></tr><tr><td align="center"> 10 </td><td align="center">Brett Favre
</td><td align="center">Green Bay
</td><td align="center">25 TDs, 18 INTs, 4000 Yards
</td><td align="center">Green Bay's line will give Favre more time to throw for lots of yards, TDs, and INTs.
</td></tr><tr><td align="center"> 11 </td><td align="center">Tony Romo
</td><td align="center">Dallas
</td><td align="center">25 TDs, 14 INTs, 3600 Yards
</td><td align="center">Romo should have a nice season if Owens holds on to some passes.
</td></tr><tr><td align="center"> 12 </td><td align="center">Matt Hassellbeck
</td><td align="center">Seattle
</td><td align="center">23 TDs, 13 INTs, 3700 Yards
</td><td align="center">He'll pass a decent amount but the offensive line isn't what it used to be.
</td></tr><tr><td align="center"> 13 </td><td align="center">Matt Leinhart
</td><td align="center">Arizona
</td><td align="center">24 TDs, 17 INTs, 3750 Yards
</td><td align="center">Arizona always finds a way to score some points despite little QB protection and no running game.
</td></tr><tr><td align="center"> 14 </td><td align="center">Jay Cutler
</td><td align="center">Denver
</td><td align="center">22 TDs, 11 INTs, 3400 Yards
</td><td align="center">Should be consistent in year 2 but won't be to asked to do much.
</td></tr><tr><td align="center"> 15 </td><td align="center">Vince Young
</td><td align="center">Tennessee
</td><td align="center">23 TDs, 16 INTs, 3050 Yards
</td><td align="center">Rushing TDs and yardage are the only thing keeping Vince this high on the list.
</td></tr><tr><td align="center"> 16 </td><td align="center">Jason Campbell
</td><td align="center">Washington
</td><td align="center">20 TDs, 14 INTs, 3500 Yards
</td><td align="center">Look for vast improvement in year 2 behind a nice offensive line that will give the youngster time.
</td></tr><tr><td align="center"> 17 </td><td align="center">Alex Smith
</td><td align="center">San Francisco
</td><td align="center">20 TDs, 13 INTs, 3400 Yards
</td><td align="center">More short passes will keep the TD/INT ratio tidy while Gore carries the load on the ground.
</td></tr><tr><td align="center"> 18 </td><td align="center">Ben Roethlisberger
</td><td align="center">Pittsburgh
</td><td align="center">19 TDs, 12 INTs, 3300
</td><td align="center">Pitt will emphasize the run, de-emphasize the motorcycle.
</td></tr><tr><td align="center"> 19 </td><td align="center">Jake Delhomme
</td><td align="center">Carolina
</td><td align="center">20 TDs, 16 INTs, 3300 Yards
</td><td align="center">If Delhomme doesn't start well, David Carr is waiting in the wings.
</td></tr><tr><td align="center"> 20 </td><td align="center">JP Losman
</td><td align="center">Buffalo
</td><td align="center">19 TDs, 14 INTs, 3150 Yards
</td><td align="center">Should be a serviceable fantasy backup, but I don't see him taking a huge jump this year.
</td></tr><tr><td align="center"> 21 </td><td align="center">Rex Grossman
</td><td align="center">Chicago
</td><td align="center">20 TDs, 16 INTs, 3150 Yards
</td><td align="center">Rex wants to run more this year. Who knows how that turns out.
</td></tr><tr><td align="center"> 22 </td><td align="center">Tavaris Jackson
</td><td align="center">Minnesota
</td><td align="center">16 TDs, 12 INTs, 3200 Yards
</td><td align="center">A lesser version of Vince Young. Should run well and pass inaccurately.
</td></tr><tr><td align="center"> 23 </td><td align="center">Joey Harrington
</td><td align="center">Atlanta
</td><td align="center">18 TDs, 13 INTs, 3175 Yards
</td><td align="center">Harrington may surprise some people if he picks up Petrino's offense. Then again, he's still Joey Harrington.
</td></tr><tr><td align="center"> 24 </td><td align="center">Chad Pennington
</td><td align="center">New York J
</td><td align="center">18 TDs, 15 INTs, 3300 Yards
</td><td align="center">Chad needs to cut his INTs down this season if he wants to hold off Kellen Clemens.
</td></tr><tr><td align="center"> 25 </td><td align="center">Jeff Garcia
</td><td align="center">Tampa Bay
</td><td align="center">18 TDs, 12 INTs, 3000 Yards
</td><td align="center">Don't look for a repeat of last year as Tampa may have the worst offensive line in football.
</td></tr><tr><td align="center"> 26 </td><td align="center">Byron Leftwich
</td><td align="center">Jacksonville
</td><td align="center">17 TDs, 9 INTs, 3050 Yards
</td><td align="center">Slow and steady. More team-MVP than fantasy stud.
</td></tr><tr><td align="center"> 27 </td><td align="center">Matt Schaub
</td><td align="center">Houston
</td><td align="center">17 TDs, 12 INTs, 3100 Yards
</td><td align="center">More nimble than David Carr but I still wouldn't expect much with guys in his face when he tries to throw.
</td></tr><tr><td align="center"> 28 </td><td align="center">Steve McNair
</td><td align="center">Baltimore
</td><td align="center">15 TDs, 13 INTs, 3100 Yards
</td><td align="center">Journeyman may disagree, but I don't see Baltimore's offense doing anything this year.
</td></tr><tr><td align="center"> 29 </td><td align="center">Trent Green
</td><td align="center">Miami
</td><td align="center">16 TDs, 14 INTs, 2900 Yards
</td><td align="center">Like Tampa, Miami's line has major issues and Green will have a target on his back.
</td></tr><tr><td align="center"> 30 </td><td align="center">Charlie Frye
</td><td align="center">Cleveland
</td><td align="center">11 TDs, 15 INTs, 2700 Yards
</td><td align="center">Frye, Anderson, and maybe Quinn will switch as starter the entire year. Frye should get about 8 starts.
</td></tr><tr><td align="center"> 31 </td><td align="center">Daunte Culpepper
</td><td align="center">Oakland
</td><td align="center">7 TDs, 7 INTs, 1900 Yards
</td><td align="center">McCown has the early lead to start, but Culpepper should get a chance to be hit alot as well.
</td></tr><tr><td align="center"> 32 </td><td align="center">Brodie Croyle
</td><td align="center">Kansas City
</td><td align="center">9 TDs, 14 INTs, 1850 Yards
</td><td align="center">After KC realizes they need to rebuild, I expect Croyle to get the majority of the snaps.
</td></tr><tr><td align="center"> 33 </td><td align="center">Josh McCown
</td><td align="center">Oakland
</td><td align="center">8 TDs, 12 INTs, 1750 Yards
</td><td align="center">Culpepper and Russell are big enough names to keep the best option in Oakland on the bench for most of the year.
</td></tr><tr><td align="center"> 34 </td><td align="center">Damon Huard
</td><td align="center">Kansas City
</td><td align="center">7 TDs, 4 INTs, 1200 Yards
</td><td align="center">Last season is over and Huard's dream run will come to a painful end.
</td></tr></tbody></table>

 

[roach23]

that's some weird scoring you use.

 

[JakeT.]

that's some weird scoring you use.

How so? I've been playing in a ton of leagues for alot of years now and that is what I'd say about 80% of them have used. It's the standard I hear of more than any others... What do you use?

 

[goodcall]

Touchdown = +6
Fumble/INT = -2

 

[GreenDoberman]

Good stuff Jake. Look forward to more of your rankings and appreciate the time and effort.
I have a draft next Wednesday and will use your stuff to supplement the other info I have compiled.

 

[JakeT.]

Touchdown = +6
Fumble/INT = -2

Gotcha. I've played that way before as well. It doesn't make much of a difference in the way the guys are ranked as it's fairly similar.

I'm surprised no one has questioned my ranking of Jon Kitna.

I have a rebuttal ready and everything haha.

 

[JakeT.]

One more note... just because I have Kitna ranked that high doesn't mean he should be drafted the 3rd QB. I don't recommend YOU taking another guy over him at a higher spot, but I'd let some other guys get the bigger named QBs out of the way before you make a value pick with Kitna. Just because I have a guy ranked higher than most doesn't mean I'd take him in the 1st round or anything.

Figured I'd add that on.

 

[JakeT.]

Good stuff Jake. Look forward to more of your rankings and appreciate the time and effort.
I have a draft next Wednesday and will use your stuff to supplement the other info I have compiled.

Thanks man. I will have RBs up tomorrow and WRs the next day. If everything goes as planned, all the rankings should be up by the time your draft goes. Good luck and if you have any questions feel free to ask em. I love talking about this stuff.

 

[JakeT.]

One other thing while I'm at it... TDs and Yards include rushing stats as well in the projections. I just clumped rushing and passing together.

 

[roach23]

Touchdown = +6
Fumble/INT = -2

yup this is standard from leagues i've been in. though i have been in a 4pt passing TD league. and 6 pt all other TDs.

Never seen 7 pts per TD.

 

[roach23]

Gotcha. I've played that way before as well. It doesn't make much of a difference in the way the guys are ranked as it's fairly similar.

I'm surprised no one has questioned my ranking of Jon Kitna.

I have a rebuttal ready and everything haha.

Kitna is everyone in the worlds super secret sleeper steal of the draft guy. He's keeps moving up the ESPN avg draft position rankings and its only gonna go higher as the season approaches. He'll be the 1st guy gone after Peyton, Brady, Palmer, Brees, Bulger and McNabb.

 

[CalvinTy]

yup this is standard from leagues i've been in. though i have been in a 4pt passing TD league. and 6 pt all other TDs.

Never seen 7 pts per TD.

Same here. My draft isn't for another 2 weeks, so I need to brush up on the points as we (informal league but 4 years in running) keep adjusting points every year. We originally had 6 pt for passing TD, but changed it to 4pt passing TD. I think one new rule this year is no more 1 point for 40 yard run/pass TD's, which sucks. If I had bothered to vote, I'd have been in the minority.

Great forum, jakethompson, I'll definitely stop by from time to time!

* CalvinTy

 

[roach23]

Rams should run more this year, and that offensive line has some issues.

What issues do the Rams have on their o-line? It's pretty much the same group as last year. They have solid tackles...Orlando Pace is still arguablly one of the 5 best in the league. Last year i know one of the guards was a rookie, or maybe 1st time starter...he should get better with experience under his belt.

Are there injuries i don't know about?

 

[roach23]

I disagree with your Eli ranking as well. I think he's gonna fucking blow this year.

 

[JakeT.]

What issues do the Rams have on their o-line? It's pretty much the same group as last year. They have solid tackles...Orlando Pace is still arguablly one of the 5 best in the league. Last year i know one of the guards was a rookie, or maybe 1st time starter...he should get better with experience under his belt.

Are there injuries i don't know about?

I don't think they are a bottom-of-the-barrel offensive line but Pace isn't getting any young and I'm weary of how well the interior 3 are going to do. McCollum may be on his way out, Romberg doesn't impress me, and Incognito is at a new spot. The tackles will be good, but the 3 in the middle leave alot of questions to be answered.

 

[JakeT.]

I disagree with your Eli ranking as well. I think he's gonna fucking blow this year.

I have him for alot of INTs (big surprise) but the fact of the matter is the Giants let him toss it around quite a bit and if they can find a suitable replacement for Petigout, Eli should have okay time again. Their line is better suited at run-blocking but the Giants use the run to set up the pass pretty well most of the time. I don't think he'll be a great NFL QB because of the bad passes, but for fantasy I can see him racking up stats.

 

[roach23]

I don't think they are a bottom-of-the-barrel offensive line but Pace isn't getting any young and I'm weary of how well the interior 3 are going to do. McCollum may be on his way out, Romberg doesn't impress me, and Incognito is at a new spot. The tackles will be good, but the 3 in the middle leave alot of questions to be answered.

Maybe you studied the O-lines, I haven't. But I disagree with this reasoning. You're bumping down Bulger because of his line, yet boosting up John Kitna who has a much worse O-line? Orlando Pace might be old, but he's still better than Detroit's best tackle, Jeff Backus (and the only guy I happen to know on that line).

The Rams have a 100 times better running game which defenses will have to respect and can't just drop back into some type or zone coverage or something, which is more than likely to happen to the Lions who don't have Kevin Jones for who knows how long. Not to mention KJ was probably Kitna's favorite guy to throw to after Roy Williams.

 

[Jetplane]

"so why do you have Kitna at #3 george" >

 

[5starbomb]

I am not buying that Jon Kitna is a top 3 Fantasy QB.... I would much rather have Brees than Kitna

 

[roach23]

Brees, McNabb, Bulger & Palmer are all better options than Kitna, IMO. If I'm not mistaken Kitna lead the league in INTs last season.